The State of the Presidential Race: March 2024
March 12, 2024
With Biden and Trump nearly guaranteed to formally secure their nominations in tonight’s primary contests, it felt like a good time to take a look at where the state of the race is tonight. Couple ground rules going in:
This is a snapshot in time. These ratings will change over time.
Senate forecast to come one week after Presidential forecast. No House forecasts due to chaos.
Dobbs continues to be a very motivating factor.
No major third party.
Ratings based on likelihood to win, not margin. No tossups.
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