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This election feels unique in several obvious, overdiscussed ways, but I think one of the biggest is how badly the state needs it to feel like a contest in order to continue feeding the machine. I seriously hope this comment doesn’t age poorly in the future but I really don’t think it’ll be close. I’ve no idea what a health or carceral scare would do to this race but either also seem within the realm of possibility.

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I think that there’s too much *bad* discussion, but I think the popular vote will be within 4 points

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