The polling, especially of late, shows a completely tied race with Harris as a narrow favorite to win the Electoral College (I opt to link to Split-Ticket because I agree that state-level polling is more indicative than national polling, like FiveThirtyEight).
Think this is a little unfair on Bonier - he isn’t extrapolating anything from the early vote, he’s merely describing it and setting out various potential scenarios.
He's on Ss too. Just the raw data shows an overwhelming Trump victory ahead-- and this coming from someone not voting who's worked on these campaigns. You are just gaslighting yourself in this post :)
https://medium.com/@rickpenney/early-voting-latest-surprises-51273de9ce96
Spot on … Trump no longer has a path to victory.
Think this is a little unfair on Bonier - he isn’t extrapolating anything from the early vote, he’s merely describing it and setting out various potential scenarios.
https://medium.com/@rickpenney/dont-believe-rcp-coming-out-with-trump-ahead-in-polls-0443415bab37
Lotsa grasping at straws show up here. I challenge you to listen to this podcast of Seth here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4yuqQaaJNZ0&list=PPSV&ab_channel=Dr.SteveTurley
He's on Ss too. Just the raw data shows an overwhelming Trump victory ahead-- and this coming from someone not voting who's worked on these campaigns. You are just gaslighting yourself in this post :)
https://medium.com/@rickpenney/dont-believe-rcp-coming-out-with-trump-ahead-in-polls-0443415bab37